Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.080387 0.093225 0.107255 0.123700 0.142418 0.163033 0.187429
2025-01-19 0.059680 0.076369 0.096255 0.121587 0.152878 0.190135 0.237717
2025-01-26 0.049355 0.068805 0.093775 0.127917 0.173081 0.230436 0.308390
2025-02-02 0.041675 0.062720 0.091581 0.133568 0.192499 0.271574 0.384853
2025-02-09 0.033111 0.053573 0.083431 0.129442 0.197632 0.293825 0.438315
2025-02-16 0.027417 0.047395 0.078237 0.128287 0.206139 0.320913 0.500602
2025-02-23 0.022518 0.041458 0.072297 0.124829 0.210296 0.341515 0.554876
2025-03-02 0.018809 0.036752 0.067462 0.122186 0.214982 0.362838 0.611657
2025-03-09 0.016455 0.033955 0.065298 0.123473 0.225849 0.394449 0.686939
2025-03-16 0.013812 0.030118 0.060694 0.119799 0.227715 0.411317 0.739470
2025-03-23 0.012780 0.029215 0.061258 0.125368 0.246093 0.457141 0.843800
2025-03-30 0.011403 0.027355 0.059709 0.126723 0.256885 0.490669 0.929621
2025-04-06 0.009724 0.024584 0.056040 0.123669 0.259438 0.510402 0.993992
2025-04-13 0.008427 0.022419 0.053287 0.122065 0.264561 0.535225 1.069693
2025-04-20 0.007962 0.022118 0.054451 0.128686 0.286571 0.593306 1.211348
2025-04-27 0.007474 0.021664 0.055208 0.134508 0.307525 0.651077 1.356911
2025-05-04 0.006389 0.019475 0.051672 0.130424 0.307394 0.667743 1.424808
2025-05-11 0.005633 0.017998 0.049578 0.129295 0.313366 0.696907 1.519284
2025-05-18 0.004858 0.016297 0.046660 0.125828 0.313773 0.714654 1.592118
2025-05-25 0.004228 0.014879 0.044227 0.123174 0.315652 0.735482 1.672637
2025-06-01 0.003849 0.014135 0.043438 0.124475 0.326731 0.776620 1.798243
2025-06-08 0.003322 0.012801 0.040831 0.120776 0.325564 0.791057 1.868262
2025-06-15 0.003184 0.012723 0.041730 0.126387 0.347477 0.858138 2.056445